Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 4.008297 4.748512 5.617194 6.719821 8.093342 9.762679 11.967648
2024-12-15 3.030084 3.970109 5.219045 7.034517 9.665441 13.435740 19.430974
2024-12-22 2.418724 3.367416 4.727653 6.883347 10.337024 15.885265 25.989547
2024-12-29 2.051982 2.995825 4.433396 6.877639 11.137041 18.691473 34.244407
2025-01-05 1.765717 2.677993 4.137232 6.767091 11.688729 21.205665 43.104769
2025-01-12 1.593925 2.504051 4.027905 6.930494 12.752197 25.023499 56.707061
2025-01-19 1.408861 2.275937 3.781707 6.781782 13.154571 27.608468 68.905728
2025-01-26 1.341113 2.235921 3.855894 7.256046 14.985212 34.141108 96.297015
2025-02-02 1.261988 2.162442 3.853162 7.570131 16.555760 40.744991 129.543467
2025-02-09 1.198409 2.107511 3.874931 7.939017 18.379395 48.940553 176.732893
2025-02-16 1.119642 2.012425 3.799999 8.071867 19.643916 56.153363 228.492079
2025-02-23 1.053989 1.934265 3.747351 8.245485 21.086029 64.785606 299.104452
2025-03-02 0.966359 1.814540 3.617108 8.281021 22.415580 74.980148 404.423483
2025-03-09 0.909780 1.754418 3.616565 8.681449 25.187134 93.774747 622.303110
2025-03-16 0.824223 1.619257 3.417844 8.487135 25.901889 104.534467 818.312848
2025-03-23 0.760859 1.523590 3.295707 8.479778 27.315877 120.438889 1141.408489
2025-03-30 0.698622 1.421994 3.141631 8.337634 28.176182 134.667438 1534.286109
2025-04-06 0.660375 1.370134 3.103650 8.547783 30.621774 161.929354 2358.436931
2025-04-13 0.608843 1.280612 2.953501 8.356517 31.256922 178.509510 3172.569629
2025-04-20 0.594478 1.277914 3.033581 8.967233 36.024629 234.671840 6026.899533
2025-04-27 0.572714 1.254171 3.052040 9.372852 40.129133 295.323364 11064.390711
2025-05-04 0.554465 1.236790 3.085577 9.850383 45.051500 378.140605 22314.020393
2025-05-11 0.528139 1.195444 3.042459 10.022656 48.408462 454.794210 41539.425976